YOUR FIVE-YEAR ESTIMATE
5YEARS
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Absolute risk · First MACE
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SYNTHETIC TEST · No patient interpretation.
estimated five-year
event risk
Estimated event risk100 people · fractional shading
Risk over the next five years
Model estimate; the curve does not show an individual confidence interval.
What this estimate means
This is an estimated probability of a first major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE): myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, cardiovascular death or coronary revascularization. It is not a hazard ratio, a diagnosis or a guarantee.
Changing an input shows a change in the model’s estimate. It does not establish the benefit of a treatment or lifestyle change.
Inputs and calculation details
READ THE ESTIMATE IN CONTEXTOne part of a bigger picture.
Developed in UK Biobank. The study excluded prior MACE and events in the first six months. Independent external validation is still needed.
There are no validated “low / medium / high” categories or healthy-person comparisons provided by this tool.
For research use. This estimate does not replace clinical assessment.